Overrun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Canadian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1206 | 26% | 2021-09-07 | Lost |
| 1021 | 983 | 55% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 926 | 1206 | 17% | 2015-03-29 | Won |
| 1191 | 1001 | 75% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1068 | 40% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 963 | 1022 | 42% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1047.8 vs 1032.2 has a 52.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).