Overrun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Canadian): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1282 | 16% | 2021-09-07 | Lost |
| 995 | 1020 | 46% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1139 | 851 | 84% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1139 | 851 | 84% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 888 | 1282 | 9% | 2015-03-29 | Won |
| 1200 | 1000 | 76% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 958 | 1098 | 31% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 996 | 1101 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
| 1140 | 1143 | 50% | 2012-09-29 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1045 vs 1065.2 has a 47.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).