Overrun
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25 (9 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 18
Defender wins (Canadian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 940 | 1250 | 14% | 2021-09-07 | Lost |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2020-11-21 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2017-11-05 | Won |
| 926 | 1250 | 13% | 2015-03-29 | Won |
| 1151 | 1001 | 70% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2012-11-02 | Lost |
| 963 | 982 | 47% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 992 | 1098 | 35% | 2012-09-30 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1021.3 vs 1041.9 has a 47.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).