Island Retreat
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (7 on the archive and 5 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2026-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2022-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2022-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2020-11-13 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-03-17 | | Lost |
| 959 | 1431 | 6% | 2013-07-27 | | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 997.9 vs 1053.6 has a 42.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).