Pearl of the Danube
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (8 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 10
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 928 | 78% | 2024-04-25 | Won |
| 964 | 1216 | 19% | 2020-10-20 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1076 | 69% | 2019-07-03 | Won |
| 1217 | 982 | 79% | 2018-03-10 | Lost |
| 879 | 938 | 42% | 2017-10-25 | Lost |
| 1159 | 987 | 73% | 2017-07-07 | Won |
| 1060 | 875 | 74% | 2015-06-21 | Won |
| 854 | 1038 | 26% | 2014-12-18 | Tied |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1005 has a 58.2% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).