The Black Ravens are Flying
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 79 (17 on the archive and 62 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 36
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2025-04-19 | Won |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2022-06-19 | Won |
| 962 | 1009 | 43% | 2022-05-15 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2019-03-28 | Lost |
| 1019 | 942 | 61% | 2018-05-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-07-18 | Won |
| 961 | 1110 | 30% | 2017-04-21 | Won |
| 1058 | 1026 | 55% | 2015-01-07 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1199 | 30% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 982 | 1219 | 20% | 2014-04-28 | Lost |
| 917 | 1066 | 30% | 2014-02-24 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1114 | 52% | 2013-09-15 | Won |
| 1122 | 1259 | 31% | 2013-01-26 | Lost |
| 1141 | 969 | 73% | 2012-06-22 | Lost |
| 1034 | 948 | 62% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 993 | 749 | 80% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1040.9 vs 1061.2 has a 47.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).