Return of the Black Company
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 62 (16 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 31
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian ): 31
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 881 | 881 | 50% | 2024-07-19 | Lost |
| 931 | 1110 | 26% | 2022-06-23 | Lost |
| 936 | 978 | 44% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2021-12-06 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1214 | 38% | 2021-06-17 | Lost |
| 1116 | 874 | 80% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 977 | 982 | 49% | 2020-04-12 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2019-02-09 | Won |
| 1223 | 1007 | 78% | 2017-11-15 | Won |
| 1099 | 1096 | 50% | 2017-02-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1055 | 49% | 2015-10-08 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2015-09-08 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2015-03-06 | Won |
| 981 | 1214 | 21% | 2014-01-27 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1188 | 40% | 2012-07-07 | Won |
| 1069 | 1149 | 39% | 2012-05-19 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1040.5 vs 1043.1 has a 49.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).