The Shooting Gallery
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German / Hungarian ): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1068 | 1105 | 45% | 2022-05-14 | Won |
| 1068 | 1171 | 36% | 2022-04-09 | Lost |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1135 | 1218 | 38% | 2021-05-13 | Won |
| 1123 | 851 | 83% | 2019-01-30 | Won |
| 1008 | 1226 | 22% | 2017-11-16 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1218 | 32% | 2017-08-10 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2015-02-24 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1021 | 56% | 2014-10-06 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1018 | 64% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 1072 | 1107 | 45% | 2012-01-21 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1062.1 vs 1079.6 has a 47.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).