For Want of Either Crust or Crumb
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Russian): 3
Defender wins (German (SS) / Hungarian (Vannay)): 2
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
1284 | 1125 | 71% | 2021-05-27 | Won |
1151 | 857 | 84% | 2019-01-25 | Won |
861 | 969 | 35% | 2015-03-03 | Lost |
967 | 967 | 50% | 2014-08-19 | Won |
979 | 1284 | 15% | 2014-03-31 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1040.4 has a 51.15% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).