The Terror of the Castle
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26 (10 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 20
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay)): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 698 | 1075 | 10% | 2025-10-20 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1044 | 57% | 2025-06-16 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-06-10 | Won |
| 1033 | 1026 | 51% | 2022-12-12 | Won |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2021-08-11 | Won |
| 1216 | 1133 | 62% | 2021-04-15 | Won |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2019-01-22 | Won |
| 698 | 989 | 16% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2014-04-01 | Won |
| 982 | 1216 | 21% | 2014-03-21 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1009.4 vs 1058.3 has a 43.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).