Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (12 on the archive and 17 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 7
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1082 | 812 | 83% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | Won |
| 1082 | 1214 | 32% | 2019-11-04 | Won |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2019-01-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1025 | 54% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2017-06-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 994 | 42% | 2016-01-19 | Won |
| 1067 | 1006 | 59% | 2015-03-08 | Won |
| 1271 | 1228 | 56% | 2014-12-05 | Lost |
| 948 | 1014 | 41% | 2013-01-01 | Won |
| 963 | 1154 | 25% | 2012-06-25 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2012-06-12 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1023.2 vs 1049.9 has a 46.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).