Furor Hungaricus
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (13 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Hungarian (Vannay)): 15
Defender wins (Russian): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1088 | 699 | 90% | 2024-04-27 | | Won |
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2021-07-20 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1218 | 32% | 2019-11-04 | | Won |
| 850 | 1123 | 17% | 2019-01-05 | | Lost |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-11-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2017-06-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1035 | 45% | 2016-01-19 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2015-03-08 | | Won |
| 875 | 1074 | 24% | 2014-12-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2014-12-05 | | Lost |
| 946 | 1000 | 42% | 2013-01-01 | | Won |
| 963 | 1000 | 45% | 2012-06-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 973 | 54% | 2012-06-12 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 997.8 vs 1035.2 has a 44.64% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).