The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1067 | 1086 | 47% | 2025-03-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-05-06 | Lost |
| 1268 | 1150 | 66% | 2024-05-03 | Lost |
| 955 | 973 | 47% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 755 | 1058 | 15% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1177 | 933 | 80% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1222 | 23% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1134 | 62% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1058 | 71% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
| 1194 | 1029 | 72% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1068 | 881 | 75% | 2014-11-19 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1008 | 78% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1068 | 65% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1104.8 vs 1049 has a 57.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).