The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 68 (27 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 33
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 35
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1134 | 1076 | 58% | 2026-04-29 | Won |
| 1044 | 1094 | 43% | 2025-03-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-05-06 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1227 | 54% | 2024-05-03 | Lost |
| 1003 | 967 | 55% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 698 | 1075 | 10% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
| 1090 | 1055 | 55% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1076 | 932 | 70% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1015 | 1223 | 23% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1216 | 1133 | 62% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1026 | 1033 | 49% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1216 | 1075 | 69% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 850 | 83% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1226 | 1174 | 57% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1226 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1084 | 70% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1084 | 38% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1060 | 875 | 74% | 2014-11-19 | Lost |
| 1233 | 1008 | 79% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 936 | 982 | 43% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1143 | 28% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1143 | 983 | 72% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1060 | 66% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1097.6 vs 1053.3 has a 56.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).