The Devil's Free to Have a Try
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (Russian): 11
Defender wins (Hungarian (Vannay) / German (SS)): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1125 | 55% | 2025-03-10 | Won |
| 1228 | 1228 | 50% | 2024-05-06 | Lost |
| 1282 | 1264 | 53% | 2024-05-03 | Lost |
| 998 | 972 | 54% | 2024-01-03 | Lost |
| 831 | 1089 | 18% | 2023-04-06 | Won |
| 1199 | 1199 | 50% | 2022-04-22 | Won |
| 1241 | 931 | 86% | 2022-03-26 | Won |
| 1013 | 1121 | 35% | 2022-03-10 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1135 | 62% | 2021-01-21 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2020-12-28 | Won |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2020-07-07 | Won |
| 1219 | 1089 | 68% | 2019-08-23 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2019-01-02 | Won |
| 1223 | 1171 | 57% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1223 | 1008 | 78% | 2017-06-07 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1088 | 48% | 2017-04-01 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1080 | 65% | 2014-12-05 | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2014-11-26 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1202 | 54% | 2014-09-15 | Lost |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2014-06-09 | Won |
| 938 | 982 | 44% | 2013-01-06 | Lost |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1132 | 748 | 90% | 2012-06-29 | Lost |
| 1189 | 1003 | 74% | 2012-06-10 | Won |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2012-05-27 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1113.3 vs 1064.3 has a 57.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).