Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 63 (12 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 32
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 898 | 80% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1134 | 1196 | 41% | 2022-11-11 | Lost |
| 939 | 1065 | 33% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 916 | 931 | 48% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 930 | 1123 | 25% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1090 | 1114 | 47% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1193 | 959 | 79% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 1010 | 51% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1113 | 37% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1024 | 1113 | 37% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1151 | 739 | 91% | 2012-12-10 | Won |
| 1059 | 1073 | 48% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1027.8 has a 53.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).