Burnt, Blue and Gray
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (10 on the archive and 51 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 31
Defender wins (American): 30
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 927 | 77% | 2022-11-12 | Won |
| 1015 | 944 | 60% | 2022-04-18 | Won |
| 933 | 931 | 50% | 2020-11-07 | Lost |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1111 | 51% | 2015-10-29 | Won |
| 1276 | 958 | 86% | 2015-09-05 | Won |
| 1009 | 1069 | 41% | 2013-05-25 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2013-03-08 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1008 | 57% | 2012-07-28 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1055.8 vs 1042.8 has a 51.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).