Coriano
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (Canadian): 17
Defender wins (German): 12
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2023-07-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-06-01 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-05-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-04-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1039 | 44% | 2020-11-15 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2020-05-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2019-11-09 | Won |
| 1000 | 912 | 62% | 2016-12-20 | Lost |
| 912 | 1000 | 38% | 2016-11-12 | Won |
| 1107 | 1000 | 65% | 2016-06-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1221 | 22% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-05-17 | Won |
| 1221 | 1000 | 78% | 2015-04-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2015-02-27 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-11-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2014-04-03 | Won |
| 1012 | 1062 | 43% | 2014-01-28 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-06-15 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-06-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-06-04 | Won |
| 928 | 1000 | 40% | 2013-04-14 | Won |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2013-02-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-11-07 | Lost |
| 1000 | 980 | 53% | 2012-06-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 928 | 60% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-04-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1011 vs 1004.7 has a 50.9% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).