Lost Highway
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (13 on the archive and 52 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 35
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2019-05-30 | | Lost |
| 964 | 1000 | 45% | 2017-09-16 | | Won |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 2017-09-03 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-10-03 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2016-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2015-02-22 | | Won |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2014-09-14 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1056 | 64% | 2014-01-02 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1056 | 57% | 2013-09-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1125 | 33% | 2012-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2012-02-04 | | Tied |
| 1090 | 1120 | 46% | 2011-01-15 | | Lost |
| 1086 | 959 | 68% | | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1081.2 vs 1021.6 has a 58.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).