Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 920 | 941 | 47% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 996 | 1011 | 48% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1169 | 1024 | 70% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 946 | 938 | 51% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1214 | 981 | 79% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 998 | 981 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1116 | 870 | 80% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1140 | 857 | 84% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 1008 | 889 | 66% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1214 | 1097 | 66% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1048 | 941 | 65% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 1011 | 63% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 1048 | 941 | 65% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1026 | 1067 | 44% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1084 | 982 | 64% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1202 | 1310 | 35% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1310 | 24% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1004 | 982 | 53% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 965 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1100 | 64% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 927 | 1021 | 37% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1069.3 vs 1011.4 has a 58.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).