Gabriel's Horn
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 25
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1142 | 889 | 81% | 2024-10-31 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1014 | 50% | 2024-10-22 | Won |
| 1168 | 1055 | 66% | 2024-10-14 | Won |
| 989 | 932 | 58% | 2023-04-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1038 | 59% | 2022-02-02 | Won |
| 1219 | 982 | 80% | 2020-09-16 | Lost |
| 999 | 982 | 52% | 2020-09-15 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-11-10 | Won |
| 1199 | 842 | 89% | 2018-05-18 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2017-05-23 | Lost |
| 1157 | 853 | 85% | 2016-09-24 | Lost |
| 992 | 889 | 64% | 2016-06-17 | Won |
| 1219 | 1097 | 67% | 2016-04-21 | Won |
| 1061 | 889 | 73% | 2014-02-23 | Won |
| 1110 | 1009 | 64% | 2014-01-03 | Won |
| 1061 | 889 | 73% | 2013-02-23 | Won |
| 1025 | 1066 | 44% | 2012-11-28 | Won |
| 1080 | 979 | 64% | 2012-10-02 | Won |
| 1202 | 1310 | 35% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1310 | 24% | 2012-08-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1058 | 43% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 965 | 59% | 2012-06-12 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1003 | 72% | 2012-03-16 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1110 | 63% | 2011-12-30 | Lost |
| 998 | 1021 | 47% | 2011-06-20 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1092.7 vs 1009.8 has a 61.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).