BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (8 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 20
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1071 | 58% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 916 | 1265 | 12% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1028 | 986 | 56% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1065 | 1124 | 42% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1051 | 54% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1151 | 978 | 73% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1075 | 43% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1014 | 927 | 62% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1051.5 vs 1059.6 has a 48.83% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).