BB Gun at the Baby Parade
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (9 on the archive and 22 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 10
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1127 | 1084 | 56% | 2013-10-03 | Won |
| 984 | 1281 | 15% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 1097 | 987 | 65% | 2012-02-17 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2012-01-31 | Lost |
| 950 | 968 | 47% | 2012-01-28 | Lost |
| 1108 | 977 | 68% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
| 1059 | 1342 | 16% | 2011-10-22 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1107 | 39% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1013 | 885 | 68% | 2011-09-15 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 1055 vs 1084.4 has a 45.77% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).