Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 93 (24 on the archive and 69 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 50
Defender wins (Russian): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1310 | 1150 | 72% | 2026-10-06 | | Won |
| 996 | 1029 | 45% | 2025-03-24 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1021 | 48% | 2025-01-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1163 | 28% | 2024-02-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2024-02-01 | | Won |
| 972 | 1062 | 37% | 2023-07-10 | | Lost |
| 1015 | 979 | 55% | 2023-04-22 | | Won |
| 991 | 1030 | 44% | 2021-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1000 | 79% | 2021-06-18 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1031 | 75% | 2021-03-05 | | Won |
| 974 | 981 | 49% | 2021-01-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2020-04-04 | | Won |
| 1147 | 970 | 73% | 2017-10-28 | | Won |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2017-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1126 | 41% | 2015-08-02 | | Lost |
| 1013 | 1039 | 46% | 2013-07-27 | | Won |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-06-09 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-06-09 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2012-05-04 | | Won |
| 1101 | 978 | 67% | 2012-04-21 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2012-04-21 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1171 | 57% | 2011-12-27 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1001 | 51% | 2011-12-02 | | Lost |
| 994 | 921 | 60% | 2011-12-02 | | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1063.2 vs 1025.5 has a 55.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).