Ivanovskii
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Russian): 8
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 1009 | 51% | 2025-01-18 | Lost |
| 906 | 1107 | 24% | 2024-02-04 | Lost |
| 951 | 1093 | 31% | 2024-02-01 | Won |
| 921 | 1086 | 28% | 2023-07-10 | Lost |
| 1010 | 937 | 60% | 2023-04-22 | Won |
| 1064 | 1029 | 55% | 2021-12-27 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1050 | 69% | 2021-06-18 | Won |
| 1303 | 1014 | 84% | 2021-03-05 | Won |
| 974 | 939 | 55% | 2021-01-10 | Won |
| 902 | 917 | 48% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 967 | 75% | 2017-10-28 | Won |
| 971 | 952 | 53% | 2017-02-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1057 | 44% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1038 | 1226 | 25% | 2012-06-09 | Won |
| 1303 | 1169 | 68% | 2012-05-04 | Won |
| 908 | 870 | 55% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 979 | 66% | 2012-04-21 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1096 | 77% | 2011-12-27 | Won |
| 984 | 908 | 61% | 2011-12-02 | Won |
| 1068 | 1001 | 60% | 2011-12-02 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1053.9 vs 1020.3 has a 54.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).