Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1144 | 1144 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 919 | 58% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1011 | 882 | 68% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1123 | 1011 | 66% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 931 | 57% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 931 | 997 | 41% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 931 | 1060 | 32% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 931 | 961 | 46% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1056 | 1008 | 57% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1310 | 18% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 871 | 889 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1181 | 1084 | 64% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1276 | 1126 | 70% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1004 | 1056 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 927 | 63% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1105 | 33% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 1011 | 1244 | 21% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1074 | 1227 | 29% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 931 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1082 | 1310 | 21% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1069 | 52% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1213 | 64% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1055 | 1008 | 57% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1053.8 vs 1055.6 has a 49.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).