Early Morning Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 17
Defender wins (Russian): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 0
Defender wins (Russian): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 844 | 966 | 33% | 2024-12-05 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2024-10-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 1085 | 46% | 2021-04-19 | Lost |
| 956 | 941 | 52% | 2020-09-03 | Won |
| 1016 | 904 | 66% | 2020-05-28 | Won |
| 1122 | 982 | 69% | 2020-03-08 | Lost |
| 978 | 950 | 54% | 2017-11-26 | Lost |
| 950 | 999 | 43% | 2017-11-04 | Won |
| 1158 | 971 | 75% | 2017-07-27 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 950 | 960 | 49% | 2016-08-27 | Won |
| 1047 | 1086 | 44% | 2016-04-30 | Lost |
| 1419 | 1274 | 70% | 2016-04-03 | Won |
| 871 | 890 | 47% | 2015-11-22 | Lost |
| 1285 | 1029 | 81% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1150 | 1143 | 51% | 2013-07-27 | Won |
| 1006 | 1058 | 43% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 962 | 903 | 58% | 2013-05-13 | Won |
| 1099 | 1124 | 46% | 2013-04-30 | Won |
| 982 | 1243 | 18% | 2013-03-09 | Won |
| 1095 | 1244 | 30% | 2013-03-08 | Lost |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2013-03-06 | Lost |
| 985 | 927 | 58% | 2013-02-10 | Lost |
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2012-12-13 | Won |
| 1255 | 1138 | 66% | 2012-09-30 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1274 | 34% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1037 | 49% | 2012-03-25 | Lost |
| 1274 | 1213 | 59% | 2012-02-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 952 | 73% | 2012-01-19 | Won |
| 1056 | 1086 | 46% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1055.2 has a 51.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).