Steamroller
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (24 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 44
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 692 | 90% | 2025-10-15 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2024-07-23 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2024-04-20 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1167 | 52% | 2024-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1161 | 1258 | 36% | 2024-03-28 | | Won |
| 977 | 949 | 54% | 2024-03-24 | | Won |
| 1078 | 1176 | 36% | 2024-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1140 | 940 | 76% | 2024-02-28 | | Won |
| 1159 | 988 | 73% | 2023-05-08 | | Won |
| 1056 | 989 | 60% | 2023-05-03 | | Won |
| 944 | 1038 | 37% | 2022-12-11 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1038 | 63% | 2022-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1132 | 1038 | 63% | 2022-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1031 | 67% | 2022-09-18 | | Lost |
| 991 | 1142 | 30% | 2022-02-20 | | Won |
| 1105 | 1097 | 51% | 2020-12-13 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2020-09-29 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2019-06-17 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1145 | 37% | 2017-10-03 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2017-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 927 | 72% | 2014-07-13 | | Won |
| 966 | 1126 | 28% | 2013-06-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1056 | 57% | 2012-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-12-11 | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1070.6 vs 1047.9 has a 53.26% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).