A Hard Push
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (16 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 31
Defender wins (Russian): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 959 | 1174 | 22% | 2026-07-12 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2024-11-04 | | Won |
| 1057 | 1037 | 53% | 2024-08-19 | | Won |
| 1072 | 692 | 90% | 2024-07-12 | | Won |
| 1118 | 1056 | 59% | 2022-04-02 | | Won |
| 1090 | 966 | 67% | 2021-03-21 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-08-11 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2017-05-13 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1219 | 24% | 2017-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 1055 | 84% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1055 | 84% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 970 | 1090 | 33% | 2012-06-06 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1126 | 30% | 2012-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1019 | 47% | 2012-03-08 | | Won |
| 1108 | 983 | 67% | 2012-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2012-02-17 | | Tied |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1078.4 vs 1041.3 has a 55.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).