Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 41 (14 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 756 | 1036 | 17% | 2025-04-15 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1050 | 48% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2019-08-04 | Won |
| 1204 | 1119 | 62% | 2017-06-24 | Won |
| 1116 | 970 | 70% | 2017-04-27 | Won |
| 1058 | 1217 | 29% | 2016-04-29 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2015-03-04 | Won |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2014-09-17 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-10-04 | Lost |
| 1075 | 1058 | 52% | 2013-09-25 | Lost |
| 941 | 1034 | 37% | 2013-09-02 | Lost |
| 1176 | 1253 | 39% | 2012-03-03 | Won |
| 1068 | 1229 | 28% | 2012-01-13 | Won |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1057.9 vs 1106.1 has a 43.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).