Burning Down the House
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 692 | 1072 | 10% | 2025-04-15 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1067 | 53% | 2021-07-13 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-08-04 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-06-24 | | Won |
| 1133 | 970 | 72% | 2017-04-27 | | Won |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2016-04-29 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2014-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2013-10-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2013-09-25 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1090 | 28% | 2013-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2012-03-03 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1209 | 26% | 2012-01-13 | | Won |
| 1018 | 1086 | 40% | | | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1022.7 vs 1097.8 has a 39.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).