Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (20 on the archive and 106 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 56
Defender wins (German (SS)): 70
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1098 | 1029 | 60% | 2024-12-04 | Won |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 949 | 1043 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1157 | 952 | 76% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1116 | 1172 | 42% | 2020-03-05 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1063 | 58% | 2020-03-01 | Lost |
| 1199 | 910 | 84% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1068 | 1056 | 52% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1026 | 1058 | 45% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1106 | 998 | 65% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1080 | 1271 | 25% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1056 | 887 | 73% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 930 | 1132 | 24% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1110 | 76% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1125 | 43% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 1058 | 910 | 70% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1072.7 vs 1037.5 has a 55.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).