Order 831
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 117 (17 on the archive and 100 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 52
Defender wins (German (SS)): 65
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 718 | 89% | 2024-05-21 | Won |
| 949 | 1045 | 37% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 1034 | 1034 | 50% | 2022-04-13 | Lost |
| 1120 | 952 | 72% | 2020-11-19 | Won |
| 1116 | 976 | 69% | 2020-01-16 | Won |
| 1068 | 1069 | 50% | 2017-03-11 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2013-09-09 | Lost |
| 1105 | 927 | 74% | 2012-10-16 | Won |
| 1084 | 1070 | 52% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1069 | 888 | 74% | 2012-10-01 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2012-04-12 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2012-01-22 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1111 | 76% | 2011-10-22 | Won |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2011-10-07 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1008 | 60% | 2011-10-03 | Lost |
| 938 | 980 | 44% | 2011-09-02 | Won |
| 982 | 911 | 60% | 2011-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1067.1 vs 1001.6 has a 59.31% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).