Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (15 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 980 | 1008 | 46% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 863 | 66% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1009 | 59% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1073 | 1310 | 20% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1310 | 20% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1038 | 61% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1018 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1011 | 55% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1018 | 49% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 982 | 933 | 57% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1049.9 vs 1074.9 has a 46.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).