Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (19 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 20
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 994 | 1011 | 48% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1135 | 862 | 83% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1003 | 977 | 54% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1064 | 1234 | 27% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1234 | 27% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1097 | 50% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1097 | 48% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1121 | 41% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1019 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1015 | 54% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1019 | 49% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 931 | 76% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1005 | 1141 | 31% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1343 | 17% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1172 | 1062 | 65% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1063.9 vs 1088.1 has a 46.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).