Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (18 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 992 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1117 | 861 | 81% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1027 | 980 | 57% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1060 | 1253 | 25% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1253 | 25% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1097 | 49% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1081 | 1097 | 48% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1120 | 43% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1019 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 950 | 63% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 980 | 1118 | 31% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1019 | 49% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 1117 | 931 | 74% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 1140 | 33% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1229 | 1068 | 72% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1061.7 vs 1074.5 has a 48.16% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).