Raid Into The Reich
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 64 (18 on the archive and 46 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Polish): 19
Defender wins (German): 45
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1037 | 1037 | 50% | 2024-06-03 | Lost |
| 992 | 1009 | 48% | 2020-07-24 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1099 | 861 | 80% | 2016-01-19 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1014 | 53% | 2014-03-08 | Won |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1071 | 1274 | 24% | 2013-02-17 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1105 | 47% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1105 | 45% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1123 | 42% | 2012-06-09 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1019 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Lost |
| 1046 | 982 | 59% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 1019 | 1244 | 21% | 2012-02-23 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1019 | 50% | 2011-12-20 | Won |
| 1099 | 931 | 72% | 2011-11-25 | Won |
| 1015 | 1138 | 33% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1053 | 67% | 2011-04-25 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1055.6 vs 1077.2 has a 46.89% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).