Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1014 | 68% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1120 | 959 | 72% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 985 | 1310 | 13% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 1033 | 1120 | 38% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1098 | 62% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1016 | 64% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1045 | 1143 | 36% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1141 | 941 | 76% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 1051 | 982 | 60% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1108 | 45% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1072.2 vs 1061.1 has a 51.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).