Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1178 | 986 | 75% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1090 | 972 | 66% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1274 | 16% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 980 | 1090 | 35% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1072 | 56% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1113 | 986 | 68% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1038 | 64% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1054 | 1133 | 39% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1171 | 879 | 84% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 894 | 936 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 968 | 1099 | 32% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1095 | 1132 | 45% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1060.8 vs 1056.8 has a 50.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).