Fiery Finale
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 14
Attacker wins (German): 8
Defender wins (Russian): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1170 | 977 | 75% | 2019-12-28 | Won |
| 1150 | 960 | 75% | 2018-11-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1310 | 13% | 2018-09-08 | Lost |
| 994 | 1150 | 29% | 2018-04-03 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1086 | 57% | 2017-11-18 | Won |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2017-11-14 | Won |
| 977 | 1132 | 29% | 2015-08-04 | Won |
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2015-07-26 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1042 | 71% | 2014-09-23 | Won |
| 1043 | 1144 | 36% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1161 | 889 | 83% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2012-01-17 | Won |
| 1052 | 1058 | 49% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1073 | 1107 | 45% | 2011-10-04 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1078.1 vs 1064.1 has a 52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).