Fish in a Barrel
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 49 (12 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 28
Defender wins (German): 21
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 893 | 1198 | 15% | 2024-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 996 | 73% | 2024-06-21 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1058 | 39% | 2024-06-21 | | Lost |
| 927 | 1343 | 8% | 2018-06-28 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1343 | 10% | 2018-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 2012-03-24 | | Won |
| 1187 | 1019 | 72% | 2012-03-22 | | Won |
| 1126 | 977 | 70% | 2012-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2012-01-22 | | Won |
| 1031 | 1214 | 26% | 2011-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1090 | 1000 | 63% | 2011-10-08 | | Lost |
| 1348 | 1147 | 76% | 2011-10-02 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1064.2 vs 1112.5 has a 43.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).