An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 753 | 960 | 23% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1087 | 43% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1220 | 939 | 83% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1220 | 32% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 1191 | 23% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 995 | 1191 | 24% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1023 | 1104 | 39% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1039 | 69% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 884 | 953 | 40% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1018.1 vs 1076 has a 41.75% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).