An Italian Civil War
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Republican): 0
Defender wins (Nationalist): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 977 | 1032 | 42% | 2023-05-28 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1116 | 51% | 2023-03-19 | Lost |
| 1266 | 938 | 87% | 2017-05-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1209 | 30% | 2014-01-17 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1141 | 41% | 2013-10-11 | Lost |
| 993 | 1141 | 30% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1091 | 55% | 2013-08-24 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1039 | 68% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
| 1007 | 954 | 58% | 2013-03-02 | Lost |
Attacking (0 wins) average ELOs: 1089.4 vs 1073.4 has a 52.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).