Arrivederci Nembo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 39 (20 on the archive and 19 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 23
Defender wins (Canadian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 961 | 58% | 2024-12-21 | Won |
| 1083 | 922 | 72% | 2024-09-15 | Won |
| 961 | 924 | 55% | 2024-07-13 | Won |
| 961 | 961 | 50% | 2024-04-27 | Won |
| 1117 | 1059 | 58% | 2024-01-19 | Won |
| 1041 | 1041 | 50% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1047 | 51% | 2022-10-21 | Won |
| 989 | 979 | 51% | 2020-04-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 989 | 56% | 2020-04-15 | Lost |
| 1139 | 1046 | 63% | 2020-03-26 | Won |
| 1009 | 1014 | 49% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1139 | 32% | 2020-03-25 | Lost |
| 979 | 975 | 51% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 1136 | 1066 | 60% | 2020-02-06 | Won |
| 998 | 982 | 52% | 2017-10-03 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1045 | 50% | 2014-04-11 | Won |
| 998 | 1002 | 49% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1045 | 1016 | 54% | 2014-02-11 | Won |
| 1032 | 987 | 56% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1111 | 1253 | 31% | 2011-10-30 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1037.6 vs 1020.4 has a 52.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).