Go Big or Go Home
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 120 (36 on the archive and 84 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 67
Defender wins (French): 53
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2025-10-25 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2025-07-19 | Lost |
| 868 | 868 | 50% | 2025-03-03 | Won |
| 869 | 891 | 47% | 2025-01-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 951 | 50% | 2024-12-19 | Lost |
| 972 | 951 | 53% | 2024-01-11 | Lost |
| 890 | 1034 | 30% | 2023-10-01 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | Won |
| 1119 | 1142 | 47% | 2023-01-25 | Won |
| 925 | 1218 | 16% | 2021-12-31 | Lost |
| 1218 | 925 | 84% | 2021-12-30 | Won |
| 1059 | 982 | 61% | 2020-08-04 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1037 | 45% | 2020-02-27 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2019-06-30 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1203 | 33% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 976 | 1080 | 35% | 2018-05-05 | Won |
| 958 | 951 | 51% | 2017-05-11 | Won |
| 1006 | 951 | 58% | 2017-03-31 | Lost |
| 1018 | 951 | 60% | 2017-03-28 | Lost |
| 961 | 951 | 51% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1126 | 976 | 70% | 2014-09-27 | Lost |
| 1149 | 1126 | 53% | 2014-09-10 | Lost |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2013-06-27 | Won |
| 1029 | 1143 | 34% | 2013-06-23 | Won |
| 1191 | 1143 | 57% | 2013-06-22 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1126 | 61% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 1167 | 1133 | 55% | 2012-10-28 | Lost |
| 936 | 1020 | 38% | 2012-09-26 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1156 | 60% | 2012-09-23 | Won |
| 1143 | 1191 | 43% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1156 | 736 | 92% | 2012-04-21 | Won |
| 973 | 1107 | 32% | 2012-01-24 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1094 | 38% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1094 | 38% | 2012-01-14 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1126 | 44% | 2011-12-04 | Lost |
| 992 | 1078 | 38% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1050.2 vs 1049.1 has a 50.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).