Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 931 | 1037 | 35% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1028 | 48% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 613 | 881 | 18% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1001 | 60% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1069 | 1001 | 60% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1164 | 1164 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 993.6 vs 1035 has a 44.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).