Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23 (8 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 967 | 1036 | 40% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 971 | 1011 | 44% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 959 | 1249 | 16% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1072 | 1132 | 41% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 613 | 878 | 18% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1021 | 55% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1054 | 1021 | 55% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1096 | 1084 | 52% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 973.3 vs 1054 has a 38.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).