Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (8 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1036 | 38% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1037 | 49% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 953 | 1263 | 14% | 2018-01-13 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1133 | 37% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 613 | 878 | 18% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1008 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1060 | 1008 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 972.9 vs 1054.6 has a 38.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).