Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 906 | 1036 | 32% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 897 | 1043 | 30% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1132 | 43% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 613 | 877 | 18% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1131 | 1131 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 959.3 vs 1036.7 has a 39.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).