Red Ruin Roulette
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22 (7 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 8
Defender wins (German): 14
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 951 | 1037 | 38% | 2024-03-12 | Lost |
| 938 | 1011 | 40% | 2021-12-04 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1133 | 46% | 2017-04-11 | Lost |
| 614 | 879 | 18% | 2017-03-04 | Lost |
| 1028 | 977 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1028 | 977 | 57% | 2017-01-22 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 964.4 vs 1016.9 has a 42.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).