Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (11 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 13
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 955 | 74% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1141 | 955 | 74% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1043 | 1134 | 37% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1084 | 55% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 1037 | 905 | 68% | 2017-03-25 | Won |
| 1060 | 1043 | 52% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1019 | 63% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1092 | 949 | 69% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1093 | 1046 | 57% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1093 | 1028 | 59% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 810 | 881 | 40% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1066.9 vs 999.9 has a 59.52% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).