Lost in a Day
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (10 on the archive and 20 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 12
Defender wins (German): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1211 | 893 | 86% | 2020-02-17 | Won |
| 1211 | 893 | 86% | 2020-02-15 | Won |
| 1029 | 1109 | 39% | 2018-03-25 | Lost |
| 1102 | 1133 | 46% | 2017-03-30 | Lost |
| 879 | 1029 | 30% | 2017-03-01 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1127 | 47% | 2015-06-14 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1014 | 52% | 2014-01-04 | Won |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2012-04-14 | Won |
| 1017 | 927 | 63% | 2011-09-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1079.7 vs 1018.8 has a 58.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).