By Dawn's Early Light
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 90 (19 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 45
Defender wins (American): 45
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2024-10-27 | Won |
| 1112 | 1084 | 54% | 2024-10-11 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-03-27 | Won |
| 956 | 1038 | 38% | 2023-01-21 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1151 | 45% | 2023-01-21 | Won |
| 1051 | 1024 | 54% | 2022-01-13 | Lost |
| 1068 | 1310 | 20% | 2021-10-03 | Lost |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2021-07-13 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1120 | 49% | 2021-04-08 | Won |
| 1152 | 1069 | 62% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1069 | 62% | 2019-11-23 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-10-30 | Won |
| 1001 | 970 | 54% | 2017-05-18 | Won |
| 1011 | 1100 | 37% | 2014-07-07 | Lost |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2014-02-23 | Lost |
| 1250 | 1276 | 46% | 2012-07-28 | Lost |
| 1060 | 1114 | 42% | 2012-05-18 | Won |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2012-03-11 | Lost |
| 1011 | 957 | 58% | 2012-03-11 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1069.2 vs 1086.6 has a 47.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).