Wasp Sting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 89 (22 on the archive and 67 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Canadian): 37
Defender wins (German): 51
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2025-11-13 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1000 | 69% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1113 | 42% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1188 | 908 | 83% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 949 | 976 | 46% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1175 | 1058 | 66% | 2013-11-10 | Lost |
| 1051 | 1057 | 49% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
| 1165 | 1175 | 49% | 2013-07-19 | Lost |
| 984 | 1018 | 45% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1018 | 53% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 965 | 965 | 50% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 963 | 983 | 47% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 1307 | 942 | 89% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1019 | 1224 | 24% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1047 | 941 | 65% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1059 | 1066 | 49% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1048.3 vs 1017.5 has a 54.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).