Wasp Sting
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (Canadian): 9
Defender wins (German): 12
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Canadian): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1113 | 34% | 2025-11-13 | Lost |
| 950 | 882 | 60% | 2025-05-16 | Lost |
| 1029 | 987 | 56% | 2025-05-16 | Won |
| 1089 | 1089 | 50% | 2025-03-06 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1056 | 54% | 2025-03-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1019 | 46% | 2020-05-10 | Lost |
| 1042 | 1019 | 53% | 2020-05-09 | Lost |
| 932 | 1216 | 16% | 2018-07-31 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1065 | 58% | 2018-06-16 | Won |
| 1028 | 1023 | 51% | 2017-02-11 | Won |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2014-07-02 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1175 | 45% | 2013-11-10 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1090 | 55% | 2013-10-16 | Won |
| 1187 | 1138 | 57% | 2013-07-19 | Lost |
| 890 | 1099 | 23% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1099 | 54% | 2013-04-02 | Won |
| 963 | 994 | 46% | 2013-02-16 | Lost |
| 1048 | 960 | 62% | 2012-10-26 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1146 | 51% | 2012-07-27 | Won |
| 1019 | 1244 | 21% | 2012-01-20 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1029 | 58% | 2011-10-08 | Won |
| 1016 | 866 | 70% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1055.9 vs 1058.7 has a 49.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).