N-463
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47 (23 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 25
Defender wins (Free French): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2026-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2026-03-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1145 | 30% | 2023-01-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2022-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2022-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2021-02-13 | | Lost |
| 851 | 989 | 31% | 2021-02-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1140 | 31% | 2021-02-03 | | Lost |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2020-03-17 | | Won |
| 1009 | 1138 | 32% | 2019-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1009 | 1000 | 51% | 2019-04-12 | | Lost |
| 890 | 963 | 40% | 2018-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2018-07-24 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2018-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1075 | 1000 | 61% | 2018-03-02 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2017-06-23 | | Lost |
| 1088 | 951 | 69% | 2015-11-27 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2015-03-08 | | Won |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-08-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2012-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2012-02-12 | | Won |
| 1215 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-12-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2011-10-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1050.4 vs 1015.2 has a 55.06% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).