Converging Assaults
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 27 (15 on the archive and 12 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Italian): 18
Defender wins (American): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1043 | 925 | 66% | 2021-12-21 | Won |
| 1141 | 1097 | 56% | 2021-12-14 | Won |
| 1018 | 982 | 55% | 2021-12-07 | Won |
| 1431 | 1427 | 51% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 881 | 68% | 2019-04-02 | Won |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 2018-07-13 | Won |
| 938 | 1014 | 39% | 2018-05-06 | Won |
| 1021 | 989 | 55% | 2018-02-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1053 | 44% | 2017-01-29 | Won |
| 1094 | 1047 | 57% | 2014-11-24 | Won |
| 1005 | 1014 | 49% | 2014-11-15 | Won |
| 1431 | 1178 | 81% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1039 | 1172 | 32% | 2013-04-20 | Won |
| 1047 | 1047 | 50% | 2012-01-28 | Won |
| 944 | 983 | 44% | 2011-08-25 | Lost |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1074.9 vs 1052.8 has a 53.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).