Road to Buin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9 (3 on the archive and 6 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 5
Defender wins (Japanese): 4
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 851 | 851 | 50% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1085 | 1059 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Lost |
| 975 | 1135 | 28% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 970.3 vs 1015 has a 43.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).