Road to Buin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 5
Attacker wins (Australian): 3
Defender wins (Japanese): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1113 | 1001 | 66% | 2026-04-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 878 | 67% | 2025-01-27 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2022-04-24 | | Lost |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2022-04-16 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2010-04-24 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1075.2 vs 975.8 has a 63.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).