Road to Buin
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12 (5 on the archive and 7 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Australian): 7
Defender wins (Japanese): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 947 | 1039 | 37% | 2026-04-26 | Lost |
| 856 | 878 | 47% | 2025-01-27 | Won |
| 1094 | 1059 | 55% | 2022-04-24 | Lost |
| 998 | 1227 | 21% | 2022-04-16 | Won |
| 1060 | 1034 | 54% | 2010-04-24 | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 991 vs 1047.4 has a 41.95% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).