Guns for St. Barbara
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (17 on the archive and 42 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 45
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 909 | 1020 | 35% | 2026-07-19 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1143 | 51% | 2022-07-26 | | Won |
| 870 | 1218 | 12% | 2019-11-21 | | Lost |
| 1060 | 1218 | 29% | 2019-11-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2018-11-11 | | Lost |
| 1111 | 1089 | 53% | 2018-02-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2015-02-02 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-01-24 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2014-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1014 | 48% | 2014-06-15 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 920 | 61% | 2014-05-15 | | Won |
| 917 | 1000 | 38% | 2012-12-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2012-04-09 | | Won |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2011-07-04 | | Won |
| 1120 | 971 | 70% | 2011-05-14 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1189 | 29% | 2011-03-19 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1062 | 41% | 2011-01-14 | | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1016 vs 1058.2 has a 43.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).