Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (22 on the archive and 53 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 32
Defender wins (American): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1167 | 939 | 79% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1080 | 913 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1112 | 993 | 66% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1152 | 28% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1227 | 1048 | 74% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1263 | 980 | 84% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
| 1263 | 1195 | 60% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1121 | 1126 | 49% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1070 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 906 | 69% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1101 | 48% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1084 | 1101 | 48% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1141 | 32% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 1112 | 975 | 69% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1060 | 63% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1219 | 1170 | 57% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1130 | 1146 | 48% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1112 | 1026 | 62% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
| 996 | 1344 | 12% | 2011-01-14 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1113.1 vs 1063.6 has a 57.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).