Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 10
Defender wins (American): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1105 | 980 | 67% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1079 | 913 | 72% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 980 | 993 | 48% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 987 | 1095 | 35% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1049 | 68% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1024 | 64% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1123 | 1055 | 60% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1283 | 979 | 85% | 2015-01-18 | Won |
| 1283 | 1158 | 67% | 2014-06-10 | Won |
| 1120 | 1096 | 53% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1071 | 62% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1048 | 919 | 68% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1024 | 1101 | 39% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1024 | 1101 | 39% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1008 | 1140 | 32% | 2012-10-02 | Lost |
| 980 | 975 | 51% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1236 | 1068 | 72% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1253 | 1168 | 62% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1117 | 51% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 980 | 1026 | 43% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1098 vs 1047.1 has a 57.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).