Head in the Noose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 8
Defender wins (American): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2021-10-23 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2021-09-04 | Lost |
| 1074 | 902 | 73% | 2021-08-07 | Won |
| 1014 | 993 | 53% | 2019-03-15 | Lost |
| 976 | 1110 | 32% | 2016-08-20 | Lost |
| 1276 | 1050 | 79% | 2016-06-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2015-03-07 | Won |
| 1116 | 1120 | 49% | 2014-02-13 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1067 | 61% | 2013-08-24 | Won |
| 1057 | 931 | 67% | 2013-03-29 | Lost |
| 1084 | 1098 | 48% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1084 | 1098 | 48% | 2012-10-05 | Won |
| 1014 | 975 | 56% | 2012-09-16 | Lost |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2012-07-15 | Won |
| 1310 | 1169 | 69% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1167 | 982 | 74% | 2011-07-24 | Won |
| 1014 | 1026 | 48% | 2011-04-21 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1093.5 vs 1031.8 has a 58.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).