Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (Japanese): 12
Defender wins (British): 6
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 956 | 58% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 931 | 1031 | 36% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 880 | 848 | 55% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1137 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 953 | 1067 | 34% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1125 | 34% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1244 | 1223 | 53% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1074 | 1091 | 48% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1044 | 54% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1119 | 44% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 1015 | 1060 | 44% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1111 | 1069 | 56% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1084 | 945 | 69% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1033.3 vs 1052.5 has a 47.24% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).