Baw Drop
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 23
Attacker wins (Japanese): 14
Defender wins (British): 9
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1153 | 1057 | 63% | 2025-08-05 | Lost |
| 1219 | 1212 | 51% | 2025-04-28 | Won |
| 1160 | 948 | 77% | 2022-05-12 | Won |
| 1049 | 1049 | 50% | 2022-04-03 | Won |
| 1140 | 1220 | 39% | 2021-04-06 | Won |
| 906 | 1021 | 34% | 2019-11-17 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-04-10 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2014-08-03 | Won |
| 1138 | 943 | 75% | 2014-05-10 | Lost |
| 957 | 1071 | 34% | 2013-04-05 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1094 | 73% | 2012-10-06 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1116 | 70% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1202 | 25% | 2012-07-04 | Won |
| 1244 | 1226 | 53% | 2012-06-24 | Lost |
| 1160 | 1143 | 52% | 2012-06-23 | Won |
| 942 | 870 | 60% | 2012-01-20 | Won |
| 1107 | 1039 | 60% | 2011-10-09 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1099 | 51% | 2011-10-06 | Won |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 1028 | 955 | 60% | 2011-08-20 | Won |
| 1070 | 1219 | 30% | 2011-05-15 | Won |
| 1121 | 1097 | 53% | 2011-04-20 | Lost |
| 1046 | 940 | 65% | 2010-12-05 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1100.2 vs 1071.2 has a 54.17% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).