The Nutcracker
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1147 | 1122 | 54% | 2017-01-07 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1093 | 48% | 2015-10-04 | Won |
| 1058 | 976 | 62% | 2014-04-06 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2013-04-29 | Lost |
| 945 | 1080 | 31% | 2011-12-03 | Lost |
| 1148 | 1128 | 53% | 2011-11-24 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1310 | 24% | 2011-10-31 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1150 | 45% | 2011-09-29 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1120 | 37% | 2011-07-05 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1003 | 72% | 2011-05-15 | Lost |
| 965 | 1141 | 27% | 2011-04-02 | Lost |
Attacking (1 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1094.7 has a 46.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).