Avril Action
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1097 | 1065 | 55% | 2024-12-13 | Lost |
| 1263 | 1138 | 67% | 2018-12-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1003 | 63% | 2018-08-25 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1134 | 42% | 2017-10-13 | Lost |
| 1039 | 1129 | 37% | 2015-11-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 1048 | 39% | 2015-03-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 1060 | 39% | 2013-09-21 | Won |
| 1071 | 967 | 65% | 2012-08-12 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1107 | 37% | 2011-06-08 | Won |
| 1230 | 1070 | 72% | 2011-04-08 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1084.5 vs 1072.1 has a 51.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).