First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29 (11 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 15
Defender wins (British): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | | Lost |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-05-12 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1014 | 66% | 2019-10-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2018-05-16 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-10-22 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2013-11-09 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1226 | 34% | 2013-10-09 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1133 | 42% | 2013-10-08 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1275 | 27% | 2013-06-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-05-19 | | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1085.3 vs 1095.8 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).