First Clash in Tunisia
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 11
Attacker wins (German/Italian): 5
Defender wins (British): 5
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 978 | 991 | 48% | 2023-05-12 | Lost |
| 1058 | 974 | 62% | 2019-10-09 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1122 | 53% | 2018-05-16 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2017-10-22 | Won |
| 1223 | 1166 | 58% | 2013-11-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 1223 | 35% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1056 | 1058 | 50% | 2013-10-08 | Won |
| 1099 | 1228 | 32% | 2013-06-15 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1310 | 31% | 2011-08-28 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1026 | 84% | 2011-05-19 | Tied |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1113.5 vs 1108.6 has a 50.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).