Counterattack at Carentan
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 47
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 28
Defender wins (American): 19
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1009 | 930 | 61% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2025-06-01 | Won |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2025-02-20 | Lost |
| 982 | 1092 | 35% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 1080 | 959 | 67% | 2025-01-17 | Won |
| 941 | 1078 | 31% | 2023-07-07 | Lost |
| 1154 | 1220 | 41% | 2023-05-15 | Lost |
| 982 | 995 | 48% | 2022-11-26 | Lost |
| 900 | 1208 | 15% | 2022-05-04 | Lost |
| 1192 | 1052 | 69% | 2021-06-26 | Won |
| 1218 | 1187 | 54% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1218 | 1170 | 57% | 2020-03-01 | Won |
| 1043 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-06-09 | Won |
| 1030 | 1014 | 52% | 2019-04-27 | Won |
| 987 | 843 | 70% | 2019-04-15 | Won |
| 1054 | 1220 | 28% | 2019-01-19 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1005 | 50% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1154 | 1026 | 68% | 2018-11-04 | Won |
| 1029 | 1046 | 48% | 2018-08-12 | Won |
| 913 | 1080 | 28% | 2017-11-18 | Lost |
| 990 | 1170 | 26% | 2017-06-23 | Won |
| 930 | 1090 | 28% | 2017-01-01 | Won |
| 1158 | 938 | 78% | 2016-02-28 | Won |
| 1013 | 1038 | 46% | 2016-01-31 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1039 | 51% | 2015-08-25 | Won |
| 930 | 1131 | 24% | 2014-11-22 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1099 | 61% | 2014-05-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 974 | 66% | 2014-01-19 | Won |
| 984 | 930 | 58% | 2013-10-16 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1055 | 53% | 2013-09-07 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1121 | 50% | 2013-06-13 | Won |
| 1101 | 870 | 79% | 2012-10-14 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1135 | 46% | 2012-07-25 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 2012-04-01 | Won |
| 969 | 1056 | 38% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1170 | 59% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1234 | 1170 | 59% | 2011-08-17 | Won |
| 1008 | 1035 | 46% | 2011-06-28 | Won |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2011-04-05 | Won |
| 1212 | 1040 | 73% | 2011-04-03 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1086 | 1015 | 60% | 2011-03-12 | Won |
| 1019 | 1078 | 42% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1015 | 865 | 70% | 2011-03-10 | Won |
| 1003 | 994 | 51% | 2011-02-26 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1099 | 80% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1220 | 26% | | Lost |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1066.6 vs 1052.6 has a 52.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).