Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 191 (53 on the archive and 138 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 98
Defender wins (Russian): 93
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1153 | 48% | 2026-10-21 | | Won |
| 1142 | 1077 | 59% | 2026-09-11 | | Lost |
| 965 | 952 | 52% | 2025-03-23 | | Won |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2025-02-28 | | Lost |
| 1006 | 1058 | 43% | 2025-02-28 | | Won |
| 952 | 1028 | 39% | 2025-02-09 | | Lost |
| 912 | 1230 | 14% | 2024-11-16 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-05-25 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1211 | 23% | 2024-04-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2024-01-10 | | Lost |
| 974 | 1076 | 36% | 2023-11-15 | | Won |
| 949 | 1000 | 43% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 960 | 1182 | 22% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1183 | 38% | 2023-06-23 | | Won |
| 960 | 1161 | 24% | 2022-06-05 | | Lost |
| 780 | 949 | 27% | 2022-01-28 | | Lost |
| 1030 | 1040 | 49% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 1040 | 991 | 57% | 2021-11-21 | | Won |
| 1218 | 870 | 88% | 2021-08-16 | | Won |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-05-09 | | Won |
| 728 | 1289 | 4% | 2021-03-02 | | Lost |
| 1152 | 1289 | 31% | 2020-12-01 | | Won |
| 1029 | 1017 | 52% | 2020-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2020-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-05-09 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-10-21 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1143 | 76% | 2018-06-29 | | Lost |
| 953 | 1242 | 16% | 2018-05-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2018-03-08 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2017-10-05 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1011 | 67% | 2016-10-05 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1215 | 68% | 2013-06-18 | | Won |
| 1020 | 1011 | 51% | 2012-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2012-03-31 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2012-03-28 | | Won |
| 1046 | 959 | 62% | 2012-02-25 | | Won |
| 957 | 936 | 53% | 2012-02-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2012-01-13 | | Lost |
| 1253 | 1019 | 79% | 2011-11-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-10-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2011-10-13 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2011-09-18 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2011-08-27 | | Lost |
| 904 | 1000 | 37% | 2011-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-06-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 1136 | 29% | 2011-05-30 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1153 | 34% | 2011-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1126 | 41% | 2011-05-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-05-23 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-05-16 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2011-04-09 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 987 | 70% | 2011-03-30 | | Lost |
Attacking (28 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1076.5 has a 44.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).