Ragnarök
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (41 on the archive and 132 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 88
Defender wins (Russian): 85
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 985 | 1031 | 43% | 2025-02-09 | Lost |
| 965 | 1190 | 21% | 2024-11-16 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2024-05-25 | Won |
| 1176 | 1050 | 67% | 2024-04-25 | Lost |
| 988 | 1095 | 35% | 2024-01-10 | Lost |
| 995 | 1027 | 45% | 2023-11-15 | Won |
| 1093 | 1020 | 60% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1233 | 17% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 939 | 1197 | 18% | 2023-06-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1067 | 35% | 2022-06-05 | Lost |
| 793 | 939 | 30% | 2022-01-28 | Lost |
| 1040 | 1064 | 47% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1030 | 993 | 55% | 2021-11-21 | Won |
| 1216 | 906 | 86% | 2021-08-16 | Won |
| 981 | 1030 | 43% | 2021-05-09 | Won |
| 759 | 1205 | 7% | 2021-03-02 | Lost |
| 1150 | 1205 | 42% | 2020-12-01 | Won |
| 975 | 1098 | 33% | 2020-04-04 | Won |
| 1137 | 1161 | 47% | 2019-05-09 | Won |
| 1028 | 1045 | 48% | 2018-10-21 | Won |
| 1197 | 1190 | 51% | 2018-03-08 | Won |
| 1190 | 1197 | 49% | 2018-03-05 | Won |
| 1097 | 1109 | 48% | 2017-10-05 | Won |
| 1022 | 1012 | 51% | 2016-10-05 | Won |
| 992 | 1068 | 39% | 2012-10-05 | Lost |
| 1237 | 950 | 84% | 2012-03-28 | Won |
| 1061 | 1055 | 51% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 1004 | 938 | 59% | 2012-02-01 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1018 | 79% | 2011-11-30 | Lost |
| 1225 | 1302 | 39% | 2011-10-27 | Lost |
| 1010 | 936 | 60% | 2011-10-13 | Won |
| 1302 | 1100 | 76% | 2011-09-18 | Won |
| 1126 | 1020 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 907 | 881 | 54% | 2011-06-19 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-06-06 | Won |
| 986 | 1150 | 28% | 2011-05-30 | Lost |
| 975 | 1237 | 18% | 2011-05-28 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-05-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-05-16 | Won |
| 1086 | 1109 | 47% | 2011-04-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 987 | 55% | 2011-03-30 | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1051.3 vs 1074.8 has a 46.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).