Circle of Doom
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (American): 5
Defender wins (German): 7
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2025-01-12 | D | Lost |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2023-02-04 | | Won |
| 1059 | 750 | 86% | 2021-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-07-05 | | Lost |
| 970 | 1147 | 27% | 2020-05-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2019-03-23 | | Lost |
| 1074 | 928 | 70% | 2016-05-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2012-11-09 | | Won |
| 1016 | 907 | 65% | 2012-03-25 | | Won |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2012-01-15 | | Won |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2011-07-08 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2011-05-07 | | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1056 vs 1025.9 has a 54.32% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).