Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 59 (18 on the archive and 41 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 28
Defender wins (American): 31
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1052 | 1040 | 52% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1129 | 57% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1211 | 1073 | 69% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 915 | 1129 | 23% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 823 | 885 | 41% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1031 | 964 | 60% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1217 | 1172 | 56% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1217 | 1113 | 65% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1108 | 1202 | 37% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 962 | 974 | 48% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
| 997 | 1060 | 41% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
| 952 | 1107 | 29% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
| 1019 | 1018 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1120 | 41% | 2011-02-22 | Won |
| 1070 | 1230 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1062.5 vs 1087.8 has a 46.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).