Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 57 (18 on the archive and 39 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (American): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1055 | 50% | 2025-06-29 | Lost |
| 1168 | 1058 | 65% | 2024-11-27 | Lost |
| 1078 | 1066 | 52% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 925 | 1058 | 32% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 822 | 993 | 27% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1047 | 906 | 69% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 1241 | 47% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1141 | 1175 | 45% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 948 | 987 | 44% | 2013-04-09 | Lost |
| 985 | 1058 | 40% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
| 1043 | 1110 | 40% | 2011-02-22 | Won |
| 1003 | 1189 | 26% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1081.9 has a 46.66% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).