Penny Packets
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 52 (15 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 29
Defender wins (American): 23
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1159 | 1020 | 69% | 2024-06-22 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2023-10-22 | Lost |
| 924 | 982 | 42% | 2021-05-13 | Lost |
| 823 | 927 | 35% | 2021-05-11 | Lost |
| 1029 | 931 | 64% | 2021-05-10 | Won |
| 1214 | 1173 | 56% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1214 | 1129 | 62% | 2018-04-25 | Won |
| 1120 | 1125 | 49% | 2015-03-15 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2013-12-27 | Won |
| 986 | 1056 | 40% | 2012-06-28 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2011-08-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-08-15 | Won |
| 1018 | 1017 | 50% | 2011-06-27 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1100 | 42% | 2011-02-22 | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2010-11-28 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1062.2 has a 49.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).