Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 933 | 73% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1044 | 46% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 950 | 69% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 898 | 1030 | 32% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1060 | 977 | 62% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1191 | 1043 | 70% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
| 1275 | 1034 | 80% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 881 | 928 | 43% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
| 940 | 950 | 49% | 2012-04-15 | Lost |
| 1044 | 957 | 62% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 989 | 1020 | 46% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 947 | 1143 | 24% | 2012-03-07 | Won |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1127 | 47% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 950 | 1017 | 40% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1022.3 has a 51.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).