Point To Make
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 26
Defender wins (German): 34
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 946 | 81% | 2023-09-10 | Won |
| 1189 | 1081 | 65% | 2020-06-26 | Lost |
| 1087 | 901 | 74% | 2018-07-21 | Won |
| 897 | 1030 | 32% | 2017-04-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 977 | 67% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1102 | 1043 | 58% | 2015-05-07 | Won |
| 1259 | 1036 | 78% | 2014-11-16 | Lost |
| 1107 | 1055 | 57% | 2014-02-01 | Lost |
| 875 | 927 | 43% | 2013-04-01 | Won |
| 940 | 901 | 56% | 2012-04-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 957 | 69% | 2012-03-09 | Won |
| 988 | 1019 | 46% | 2012-03-08 | Lost |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2012-03-08 | Won |
| 991 | 1125 | 32% | 2012-03-07 | Won |
| 991 | 1094 | 36% | 2011-08-12 | Lost |
| 1111 | 1159 | 43% | 2011-08-06 | Lost |
| 901 | 1103 | 24% | 2011-06-01 | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1048.4 vs 1028.2 has a 52.91% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).