Mountain Hunters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 155 (35 on the archive and 120 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Romanian/German): 72
Defender wins (Russian): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2023-06-11 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2022-06-11 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2022-04-10 | | Won |
| 1126 | 1150 | 47% | 2022-04-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1046 | 43% | 2022-02-09 | | Lost |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-02-08 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2021-07-30 | | Lost |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2020-11-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2020-10-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2020-09-13 | | Lost |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2020-06-29 | | Lost |
| 1218 | 870 | 88% | 2017-04-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-03-20 | | Lost |
| 1233 | 1038 | 75% | 2014-04-17 | | Lost |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-12-14 | | Won |
| 991 | 1000 | 49% | 2012-10-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1129 | 32% | 2012-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2012-04-28 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1141 | 27% | 2012-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 904 | 70% | 2012-01-13 | | Won |
| 1198 | 1011 | 75% | 2011-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-09-23 | | Lost |
| 1136 | 1171 | 45% | 2011-09-02 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-08-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-08-17 | | Lost |
| 1129 | 1000 | 68% | 2011-07-29 | | Lost |
| 1185 | 1077 | 65% | 2011-07-02 | | Won |
| 981 | 1140 | 29% | 2011-06-28 | | Won |
| 1040 | 1348 | 15% | 2011-06-11 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2011-05-28 | | Won |
| 1000 | 904 | 63% | 2011-05-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 936 | 59% | 2011-04-07 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1062 | 64% | 2011-01-15 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 1045 has a 51.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).