Opium Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (Japanese): 4
Defender wins (Malayan/British): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1306 | 1288 | 53% | 2023-07-27 | Won |
| 989 | 1110 | 33% | 2022-09-11 | Lost |
| 948 | 945 | 50% | 2021-06-13 | Lost |
| 906 | 1077 | 27% | 2020-06-11 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2020-02-22 | Lost |
| 1138 | 1263 | 33% | 2018-10-20 | Lost |
| 1080 | 925 | 71% | 2018-08-02 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1065 | 59% | 2017-10-06 | Won |
| 1143 | 1140 | 50% | 2015-10-09 | Lost |
| 986 | 1088 | 36% | 2015-08-29 | Lost |
| 968 | 968 | 50% | 2013-10-09 | Won |
| 1010 | 1060 | 43% | 2013-10-09 | Lost |
| 870 | 933 | 41% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 943 | 870 | 60% | 2012-05-13 | Lost |
| 1121 | 1065 | 58% | 2012-04-13 | Lost |
| 993 | 866 | 68% | 2011-11-14 | Won |
| 999 | 1107 | 35% | 2011-11-06 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1121 | 38% | 2011-09-04 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1036 | 47% | 2011-05-21 | Lost |
| 936 | 894 | 56% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.4 vs 1036.5 has a 47.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).