Messervy's Men
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 22
Attacker wins (British): 9
Defender wins (Italian): 13
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 996 | 1400 | 9% | 2023-06-10 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2022-11-23 | Won |
| 979 | 1014 | 45% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1030 | 1058 | 46% | 2022-07-09 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2022-02-12 | Won |
| 931 | 954 | 47% | 2021-11-01 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1051 | 44% | 2020-12-04 | Won |
| 863 | 1116 | 19% | 2019-11-03 | Lost |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2017-08-20 | Lost |
| 944 | 1107 | 28% | 2017-07-29 | Lost |
| 1110 | 1015 | 63% | 2017-07-29 | Won |
| 1007 | 1098 | 37% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 1038 | 1043 | 49% | 2015-05-23 | Won |
| 958 | 1069 | 35% | 2013-08-18 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-06-30 | Lost |
| 921 | 982 | 41% | 2012-06-17 | Won |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2011-10-08 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1078 | 49% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1031 | 59% | 2011-05-14 | Lost |
| 896 | 938 | 44% | 2011-03-24 | Lost |
| 749 | 927 | 26% | 2011-03-11 | Won |
| 940 | 1084 | 30% | 2011-02-05 | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 992.8 vs 1047.3 has a 42.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).