Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 968 | 66% | 2025-06-23 | Won |
| 1032 | 1007 | 54% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1133 | 50% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 890 | 1015 | 33% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 982 | 1075 | 37% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1170 | 915 | 81% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 940 | 998 | 42% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 978 | 1218 | 20% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1063 | 45% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1135 | 32% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1052 | 786 | 82% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 1135 | 1044 | 63% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1019 | 864 | 71% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1085 | 1122 | 45% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1343 | 1149 | 75% | 2012-03-02 | Lost |
| 918 | 1003 | 38% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1117 | 53% | 2011-11-11 | Won |
| 1040 | 1085 | 44% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 2011-07-25 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1107 | 43% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1034 | 73% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 884 | 869 | 52% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1430 | 1006 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | Lost |
| 1062 | 877 | 74% | 2011-02-24 | Won |
| 1187 | 1234 | 43% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1159 | 71% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1040 | 46% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1172 | 35% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1061.4 vs 1052.1 has a 51.34% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).