Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Russian): 14
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 970 | 1007 | 45% | 2023-10-06 | Won |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2022-11-06 | Won |
| 977 | 977 | 50% | 2022-01-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 882 | 1011 | 32% | 2021-05-08 | Lost |
| 981 | 955 | 54% | 2019-10-01 | Lost |
| 1129 | 929 | 76% | 2017-11-10 | Won |
| 941 | 994 | 42% | 2017-08-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1214 | 37% | 2017-05-12 | Won |
| 1031 | 1031 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1116 | 39% | 2014-10-07 | Lost |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2014-01-22 | Won |
| 1098 | 849 | 81% | 2013-06-28 | Won |
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2012-10-03 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1066 | 51% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 1018 | 888 | 68% | 2012-03-10 | Won |
| 933 | 1069 | 31% | 2012-02-18 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2012-02-15 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1074 | 41% | 2011-10-06 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1114 | 40% | 2011-06-11 | Lost |
| 927 | 870 | 58% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1034 | 65% | 2011-04-01 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2011-03-05 | Won |
| 1400 | 1302 | 64% | 2011-02-25 | Won |
| 1186 | 1310 | 33% | 2011-01-09 | Lost |
| 1275 | 1119 | 71% | 2010-11-06 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2010-10-30 | Lost |
| 929 | 1008 | 39% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2010-07-25 | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1053.4 vs 1053.7 has a 49.96% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).