Dying for Danzig
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 141 (37 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German): 77
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2025-06-23 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2023-10-06 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2022-11-06 | | Won |
| 977 | 1000 | 47% | 2022-01-23 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-08-10 | | Won |
| 979 | 1015 | 45% | 2021-05-08 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2019-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 912 | 80% | 2017-11-10 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2017-08-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-05-12 | | Won |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2016-05-22 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1134 | 34% | 2014-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1049 | 1133 | 38% | 2014-01-22 | | Won |
| 1064 | 808 | 81% | 2013-06-28 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2012-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1183 | 1000 | 74% | 2012-03-10 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1000 | 88% | 2012-03-02 | | Lost |
| 918 | 1059 | 31% | 2012-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2012-02-15 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2011-11-11 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1183 | 33% | 2011-10-06 | | Lost |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2011-07-25 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1108 | 43% | 2011-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1230 | 1034 | 76% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2011-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2011-03-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2011-03-05 | | Lost |
| 1435 | 1000 | 92% | 2011-02-25 | | Won |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2011-02-24 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-02-24 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2011-01-09 | | Lost |
| 1310 | 1167 | 69% | 2010-11-06 | | Won |
| 933 | 1183 | 19% | 2010-10-30 | | Lost |
| 1011 | 1062 | 43% | 2010-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1169 | 30% | 2010-07-25 | | Won |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1056.8 has a 50.38% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).