Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 23
Defender wins (German): 20
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 982 | 1084 | 36% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1049 | 43% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1099 | 1078 | 53% | 2021-10-25 | Lost |
| 1142 | 1210 | 40% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1014 | 1055 | 44% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1099 | 1027 | 60% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1123 | 1151 | 46% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 903 | 990 | 38% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 996 | 79% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
| 1065 | 1219 | 29% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1333 | 993 | 88% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1056 | 973 | 62% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1203 | 1115 | 62% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1219 | 889 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1014 | 960 | 58% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1247 | 1035 | 77% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1127 | 50% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1068 | 881 | 75% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1004 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1100 | 982 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 997 | 1004 | 49% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1197 | 1051 | 70% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1039 | 1109 | 40% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 916 | 802 | 66% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
| 1067 | 1102 | 45% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
| 1244 | 1102 | 69% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
| 1102 | 802 | 85% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1065 | 1254 | 25% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1007 | 1067 | 41% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1050 | 1124 | 40% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1030 | 52% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
| 1330 | 1416 | 38% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1109 | 1039 | 60% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1333 | 1028 | 85% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 1065 | 827 | 80% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1333 | 29% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1047 | 68% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1333 | 1023 | 86% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 932 | 1333 | 9% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1152 | 1146 | 51% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1028 | 885 | 69% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1330 | 1050 | 83% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1079 | 1089 | 49% | 2010-10-04 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1103 | 40% | | Lost |
Attacking (24 wins) average ELOs: 1109.7 vs 1060.5 has a 57.04% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).