Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 51
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 28
Defender wins (German): 21
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 960 | 1096 | 31% | 2025-11-10 | Won |
| 1034 | 1109 | 39% | 2025-11-09 | Won |
| 1140 | 1137 | 50% | 2025-10-09 | Lost |
| 1068 | 970 | 64% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1066 | 1076 | 49% | 2021-10-25 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1180 | 49% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1087 | 1055 | 55% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1031 | 59% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1120 | 1109 | 52% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 902 | 995 | 37% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1226 | 996 | 79% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
| 1117 | 1217 | 36% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1253 | 993 | 82% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 1065 | 974 | 63% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1263 | 1111 | 71% | 2019-07-27 | Won |
| 1263 | 1138 | 67% | 2019-07-13 | Won |
| 1058 | 1114 | 42% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1263 | 1338 | 39% | 2018-07-31 | Won |
| 1217 | 892 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 980 | 1007 | 46% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1303 | 1036 | 82% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1173 | 44% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1068 | 875 | 75% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1004 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1101 | 981 | 67% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 997 | 1004 | 49% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1198 | 1024 | 73% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 979 | 1131 | 29% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 950 | 786 | 72% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
| 1067 | 1072 | 49% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
| 1245 | 1072 | 73% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
| 1072 | 786 | 84% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 1117 | 1276 | 29% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1071 | 41% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1058 | 1125 | 40% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1019 | 53% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
| 1342 | 1423 | 39% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1131 | 979 | 71% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1253 | 1028 | 79% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 1117 | 826 | 84% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1179 | 1253 | 40% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1243 | 1047 | 76% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1253 | 1023 | 79% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 932 | 1253 | 14% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1151 | 48% | 2010-10-09 | Lost |
| 1012 | 885 | 68% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1342 | 1058 | 84% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 1035 | 1081 | 43% | 2010-10-04 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1032 | 48% | | Lost |
Attacking (29 wins) average ELOs: 1113.6 vs 1061.3 has a 57.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).