Bite of the Bassotto
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 42
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 22
Defender wins (German): 18
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (New Zealand): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2024-07-23 | Won |
| 1032 | 1032 | 50% | 2023-12-11 | Won |
| 1051 | 1060 | 49% | 2021-10-25 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1276 | 31% | 2021-01-09 | Won |
| 1013 | 1054 | 44% | 2021-01-05 | Won |
| 1110 | 1028 | 62% | 2020-12-23 | Won |
| 1116 | 1120 | 49% | 2020-10-27 | Won |
| 900 | 1036 | 31% | 2020-10-18 | Won |
| 1223 | 1004 | 78% | 2020-05-27 | Won |
| 982 | 1214 | 21% | 2020-03-02 | Lost |
| 1310 | 992 | 86% | 2019-11-30 | Won |
| 994 | 979 | 52% | 2019-10-12 | Won |
| 1116 | 1075 | 56% | 2018-10-25 | Won |
| 1214 | 890 | 87% | 2018-03-25 | Won |
| 1009 | 1001 | 51% | 2016-02-05 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1119 | 45% | 2016-01-23 | Won |
| 1275 | 1030 | 80% | 2016-01-23 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1137 | 50% | 2015-06-13 | Won |
| 983 | 1004 | 47% | 2014-03-23 | Lost |
| 1098 | 981 | 66% | 2014-02-20 | Won |
| 1013 | 1004 | 51% | 2014-02-14 | Won |
| 1197 | 1084 | 66% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2013-11-15 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1098 | 46% | 2013-10-27 | Tied |
| 1011 | 849 | 72% | 2013-10-27 | Won |
| 1245 | 1098 | 70% | 2013-10-24 | Lost |
| 1098 | 849 | 81% | 2013-10-05 | Won |
| 982 | 1196 | 23% | 2013-05-17 | Lost |
| 1004 | 1067 | 41% | 2013-04-09 | Won |
| 1008 | 1105 | 36% | 2012-11-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1053 | 48% | 2012-06-02 | Won |
| 1269 | 1400 | 32% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1014 | 72% | 2011-04-15 | Won |
| 1310 | 1013 | 85% | 2011-03-20 | Won |
| 982 | 841 | 69% | 2011-03-05 | Lost |
| 1178 | 1310 | 32% | 2011-02-27 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1028 | 66% | 2011-02-25 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1023 | 84% | 2011-02-11 | Lost |
| 1093 | 1310 | 22% | 2011-01-15 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1009 | 59% | 2010-10-08 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1008 | 82% | 2010-10-05 | Lost |
| 996 | 1163 | 28% | | Lost |
Attacking (23 wins) average ELOs: 1102.5 vs 1064.1 has a 55.49% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).